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Hey mate, I ran your TikTok through a tool called Palimio (I built it, full disclaimer at the end). It tags every post across 6 creative dimensions and runs proper statistics on the patterns. Your catalogue is only 63 posts so take the tiny-sample bits with a pinch of salt, but here’s what jumps out.
Your baseline:
63 posts since Jan 2025. Median 816 views, top quartile 1,923, max 27.5k. Average engagement rate sits at 9.8%, which is genuinely strong for TikTok (most political creators live around 4-6%). That tells me you have a loyal audience, not a drive-by one. The wall isn’t an engagement problem.Format + topic:
Your workhorse is Commentary (as a format – 40 posts, 920 median) on New Zealand Politics (as a topic – 40 posts, 935 median). Both are your highest-volume AND among your highest-performing, which is rare. Stick with it. Long Carousels (7 posts, 950 median) perform marginally better on views but with higher production effort, probably not worth the trade. Personal Vlogs (488 median) are dragging your account median down – but it doesn’t mean they don’t have value.Day and time (NZDT):
Best days: Friday (1,087 median, 6 posts), Tuesday (920, 12 posts), Saturday (873, 9 posts). Worst: Monday (679).Hour patterns are sharper. Morning commute posts win: 6am gets 1,317 median across 10 posts, 8am gets 1,163 across 11 posts. You’re posting most at 7am (13 posts, 790 median), which is actually the weakest of your morning slots. Evening posts (21-22h, 500-640 median) underperform. If you’ve been drifting later into the day for the last 10 posts, that alone could explain part of the wall.
Opening hook (biggest single finding):
Your text-on-screen “Bold Claim” hooks are your default: 32 posts, 885 median. Fine. But your two posts opening with a Text-on-screen Breaking News Headline format pulled a 5,145 median (tiny sample, but a 6x lift is hard to ignore). Worth testing more of those. “Relatable / Identity” hooks underperformed at just 588 median views.Emotional framing:
All five “Emotional” posts pulled a 15 median comment count, the highest of any tone you use. Serious + Informative (your dominant tones) generate 10 median comments on much higher volume. ‘Educational’ framed posts sits lower at 759 median views. The algo is rewarding you for emotional posts when you make them; you’re just not making many.Production elements:
Social Media Screenshots (I.E. when your post as a screenshot inside it somewhere – 29 posts, 885 median, 10 median comments) are your strongest production element by a hair over ‘Talking Head’ (49 posts, 873 median). Green Screen (484 median) and B-Roll (588) are your weakest. If the last 10 posts have leaned more on green-screen or heavier b-roll, that’s another partial explanation.What drives discussion:
Normalised to views: Music & Entertainment topic gets 12.9 comments/1k views, NZ Politics 10.27, Informative tone 10.15. So when your core niche lands, it lands with discussion density, not just passive views. The algo favours posts with high comment-velocity out of the gate.Correlation check:
Comments correlate with views at r=0.76, the weakest of all engagement signals (likes 0.93, saves 0.88, shares 0.82). Translation: comments are a leading signal, not a lagging one. Posts that spark replies quickly get pushed, not the other way round.Three things I’d test this week:
– Post at 6am or 8am NZDT, not 7am
– Try three Breaking News Headline text-on-screen hooks
– One explicitly Emotional-framed post, not just Informative/Serious
– Not a shadowban. This looks like a drift in the content-recipe variables rather than an account-level issue.Full disclaimer: I own this tool and built it myself. I launched it recently and I’m actively looking for real-world accounts to experiment on, both to validate the insights and to find gaps in the product. Happy to run more breakdowns or answer anything, no strings. Good luck mate. – P.S. this tool is designed for businesses, rather than smaller accounts, but still works well here. I would appreciate any feedback. Palimio.com
